Rigs and Spreads Jan. 13: An uptick, but range-bound

  • Rigs counts were up

  • Total oil rig counts rose, +5 to 623

  • Horizontal oil rig counts also rose, +2 to 565, largely unchanged in the last three months

  • The Permian horizontal oil rig count was up, +3

  • The pace of horizontal rig additions rose to 0.0 / week on a 4 wma basis

  • The calculated US breakeven to add horizontal oil rigs fell to $80 / barrel WTI versus $78 on the screen at writing.  

  • Frac spreads rose, +4 to 254, no higher than in February

  • The DUC count is increasing by our calculations

    •  DUC inventory rose to nearly 20 weeks of turnover, the highest since March

  • Overall, the story is as it has been in recent times

    • Rigs, spreads and C+C production remains range-bound

    • As we have been commenting for months, the FT also notes that the shale revolution appears over